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Breaking a Fifty-Year Pattern in the GOP

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If any of the four front-running candidates wins the GOP presidential nomination, the Republicans will break a longstanding pattern that’s lasted in their party for nearly 50 years. In 12 elections in a row, the GOP has nominated someone who has run for president before—or spent time in the White House. Gerald Ford and George W. Bush hadn’t run before they were nominated, but Ford was an incumbent president and Bush had considerable White House experience during his father’s presidency.

This time, only Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum have run for president before, and Jeb Bush comes from a presidential family. But even though he never declared his candidacy before this year, Donald Trump has publicly flirted with a presidential run on four prior occasions. Perhaps that’s one of the unacknowledged advantages behind his surprising popularity: though he’s never made a previous race, he’s already so familiar in this role that it seems as if he has.

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  1. Bob Schmidt  •  Oct 6, 2015 at 8:03 am

    It’s his turn. That is the post WWII culture of both the moderate and conservative GOP establishments. Go into any state or county GOP organization. They don’t want nobody what nobody sent. Within the organization, people are expected to move up the ladder step by step. Skipping steps on the ladder is permissible a) if blessed by a family near the top of the ladder. b) Money donations to many people near the top of the ladder. c) undeniable celebrity or heroism.

    I was not welcome in a local conservative dominated group I sought to join. My conservative beliefs were not sufficient to let me in. Then I told a story about how we YRs threw a TV down the air shaft of the Conrad Hilton 48 years earlier. The only other person in the group who was there in the Hilton during the pre-Goldwater 60s was the dominant gate keeper for the group. That I was there in ’62 established my credentials with her. I was let in the group.

    When a stranger goes into a Conservative or Republican group he takes his lack of welcome personally. The newbie thinks “It is because I’m Black, or Hispanic, or a woman, or pro-life, or pro-choice, or libertarian, or some other identity.” That is incorrect analysis. You are not in the club because you are not in the club.

    • Jd  •  Oct 9, 2015 at 4:37 pm

      Bob, you are 100% right.

  2. jguy  •  Oct 8, 2015 at 10:38 pm

    Therefore we have the “progressives”. As an ex-moderate republican I morn the
    loss of my republican party to the teaparty fringe who have stupidly redefined
    politics as “my way or the highway”- voting for a progressive who will diplomatically
    compromise to move the ball rather than the stubborn noncompromising teapartier
    is only politic. It seems to me that we send people to Washington to compromise
    and move the ball rather than take the ball and destroy it.

    • votedemout  •  Oct 9, 2015 at 3:53 pm

      That is a bunch on nonsense, the reason the tea party came into being is that the so called moderate republicans only knew how to grab their ankles during a progressive compromise maneuver. Trent Lott was a prime example, he and Tiny Tommy Dashel could enter a revolving door together and Tiny Tommy would come out the other side with Lott’s pants and wallet. Conservative republicans are tired of the lets all sing Kumbaya, while selling the Constitution down the river attitude, so prevalent in today’s party leadership. I don’t mind taking a good shot from time to time as long as I get my licks in as well. There is no fight in either McConnell or the soon to be gone Cryin’ John and I say good riddance. Now if we can find a principled Republican who is also not afraid to get in the dirt with the Dim-O-Rats, let’s talk compromise. Otherwise block everything.

  3. William D, Reynolds  •  Oct 9, 2015 at 4:44 pm

    I am a geezer who has voted for the Republican candidate for president every year since 1968. I have grown tired of Boehner and McConnell rushing to rubber stamp every Obama program he proposes, before the Democrats have a chance to. The Republicans called to ask them what the Republicans have done since having the majorities in the House and differentiate themselves from the Democrats. I asked them when are Boehner and McConnell going to take Obama’s issues before the people and let the people voice their opinion rather than caving in. I told them that I will not support the Republican Party until they become something other than Democrats as defined by actions and deeds.

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