Public-opinion polls show Hillary Clinton consistently crushing Donald Trump in trial-heats but some Trump true-believers insist he could somehow still win.
In Politico, computer modeling showed he’d first need to double the percentage of black voters won by Mitt Romney – which might be possible without Obama on the ballot. Second, he’d need to do at least as well as Romney with Hispanics, avoiding the surge of angry Latinos expected to turn out against him. And finally, he’d need to win 64% of all of voters who identify as white—an all-but-impossible goal. Half of all white voters are college graduates, and more than half are women – members of two big groups in which Trump’s been profoundly unpopular in the primaries, never approaching majorities, let alone 64%.
The odds against Trump turning this around are overwhelming – the public already knows him very well and nearly two thirds say they could never vote for him.