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Too Late for President Paul D. Ryan?

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Newly elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Paul Ryan wields the speaker's gavel for the first time on Capitol Hill in Washington October 29, 2015. REUTERS/Gary Cameron

With just three months till the Iowa Caucuses, experts cite the real possibility that the GOP convention in Cleveland won’t be decided on the first ballot, creating a fluid, unpredictable situation.

Most of the delegates—60 percent—will be selected proportionally; only 40 percent will be awarded on a winner-take-all basis. That means that even if one candidate captures 75 percent of the winner-take-all delegates—unlikely in such a complex, competitive race—he’d still need a full third of proportional delegates to reach a majority. If five or more candidates stay in the race, that could be tough.

With no majority choice on the first ballot, the delegates would go to a second ballot or beyond, until consensus emerges. The prospect of a dark horse, who wasn’t damaged in bruising primary battles, becomes an appealing possibility.

And who’s the most likely “dark horse” choice? Speaker Paul D. Ryan, with his rash of positive publicity as a party-unifying pragmatist who remains devoted to solid conservative principles.

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  1. Jim Bird  •  Nov 14, 2015 at 12:47 pm

    In light of the terriorist attacks in Paris over the weekend, it would behoove the Party not to screw around and make a path for the Tea Party candidate Marco Rubio. Decide now since our country is officially in WWIII. The stakes are far too high now to chuckle and giggle about an exciting RNC campaign season or bloviating about Republicans saying a wrong word in a debate that kills their chances of winning. Obama started the war in October 2014 when he pulled the last U.S. Troops out of the Middle East – who was his Secretary of State? Ask a millennial or another moron like Clooney, the next governor of California.
    For God’s sake when FRANCE declares WAR on terrorism, that should get Obama off the golf course! Kerry’s speech was riveting, “uhhhh …. uhh… we have a 6-month plan….. To get an answer in 18 months ….. to rectify the situation politically ……. If Republicans screw this up they deserve to no longer exist. DO SOMETHING NOW RNC – NOW.

  2. American  •  Nov 16, 2015 at 11:39 pm

    Paul Ryan has some very undesirable social policies that would bring social upheaval. He would simply cut everyone off from medical care that is too poor to afford it and doesn’t make enough money to purchase an expensive health insurance plan even with income tax deductions. But, he fully supports keeping these people jobless and unable to create successful small businesses through mass offshoring, mass outsourcing to foreign firms, mass insourcing of foreigners on visa, and as many lopsided trade agreements as possible to ensure small businesses cannot be compete on goods with major monopoly capitalist outlets of cheap foreign made goods like Walmart, Target, and K-Mart that have sweetheart deals nobody else gets. Main Street is boarded up and Paul Ryan aims to ensure it stays that way… with the resulting tens of millions affected also unable to get adequate healthcare. I would never vote for Paul Ryan.

    Now Trump has stated he wants to renegotiate the lopsided trade agreements to revive the ailing domestic labor market, encourage capital investment in the U.S., and protect innovation/invention as well as create a small business renaissance once again; go hard on immigration which altogether would normalize the U.S. labor supply by lowering it while simultaneously increasing demand for U.S. labor again. This would thin social welfare rolls and increase personal and corporate tax revenue into the U.S. treasury greatly lowering the deficit. Plus Trump understands poor people need medical care and has stated he would rewrite Obamacare to ensure they have it but in a better way than at present. Trump wouldn’t play the shell game that leaves tens of millions suffering without medical care because they have no way to pay for it as Ryan proposes.

    It’s all good if Trump is elected, the legislature gets behind him, and Trump keeps his word and doesn’t flip flop.

    Trump: yes. Ryan: no.

    • Jay Pole  •  Nov 25, 2015 at 6:15 pm

      Trump has never said any of this.

      • Suretylink  •  Nov 25, 2015 at 9:27 pm

        There’s no reasoning with Trump’s Chumps. He has done nothing positive, even hurting the immigration issue he has exploited so centrally. He has really done a disservice to the primary contest by turning it into a seemingly endless series of GOP-style ‘Sister Souljah’ moments.

        I am happy to see Cruz and Rubio rising and would like to see Jeb Bush realize that he’s not going to do anything but waste money and siphon votes from reasonable candidates with a chance and drop out.

  3. Lee  •  Nov 19, 2015 at 4:11 pm

    The one thing the Progressive Socialist have on the Republicans is unity. They only have one viable candidate….Clinton. While it is not much of a choice in my mind, it is their only viable choice to support. The Republicans on the other hand has many viable choices. I could vigorously vote for at least three of them. But the problem that presents is that it leaves the Republicans fractured. If we want to coalesce into one strong party we need to select our candidate sooner than later or by the time the real race gets started the Republican party will be less than 100% and possibly loose the next election….and American as we know it. Draconian? Sounds like it, but I fear where we are headed.

    • Suretylink  •  Nov 25, 2015 at 9:32 pm

      Actually, nominees selected after the first ballot don’t have a bad track record. We got Lincoln that way. Don’t despair as Billary is a huge handicap and their baggage won’t go away. Obama’s lack of popularity will help also.

  4. Jim Bird  •  Nov 19, 2015 at 7:11 pm

    Before Obamacare poor people got free healthcare!!! FREE B4 BOKARE!! Now you can go to prison for 6 years if you DON’T PAY FOR A FREAKING INSURANCE POLICY – an INSURANCE policy.

    • Jay Pole  •  Nov 25, 2015 at 6:14 pm

      Gee, what kind of health care was available for poor people?? I’ve known quite a few poor people and they didn’t have health care.

  5. Tom Smith  •  Nov 23, 2015 at 9:21 pm

    Paul Ryan is DESPISED by the Grassroots.
    And no, there won’t be a deadlocked convention
    -that’s a fantasy for those who see their guy losing
    -or in the case of MedFly, his guys
    -Jeb!, Rubio, and Kasich.

  6. Ed Norton  •  Nov 25, 2015 at 8:46 pm

    I wish Paul Ryan were my Congressman! I don’t know why some are expecting perfection in a candidate. Republicans should welcome all qualfied candidates and not engage in a circular firing squad creating ads for the Democrats against the eventual nominee. May the L-rd bless you Michael with your family this special thanksgiving. Ed – Burlington, WA

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