Commentators in the mainstream media want to suggest that the presidential race is already over – with a lopsided Clinton win all but assured. If Trump supporters believe their cause is lost, they may stay home–damaging Republicans up and down the ticket.
But the truth is that Trump still has a path to Electoral College victory. The polls give disproportionate weight to states like California and New York where Hillary IS far ahead, but swing states–where it’s close–will decide the outcome.
It doesn’t matter if Clinton wins New York three to one, as long as she loses Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Trump must successfully defend three Romney states where the polling is tight–North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona. But if he does that, and ekes out victories in the three big “swingers”, he’ll be president.
The outcome will depend on Trump delivering a substantive, dignified, credible performance in televised debates.